Module 3: Diagnostic Tests and Bayes' Rule
This asynchronous module consists of a video lecture and its corresponding slides, an article from the Wisconsin Medical Journal, a handout with further information, a quiz to test understanding, and a reflection activity.
Module 3 Materials
Required Reading
- Calder, Gavinski, Patel, Statistical Thinking Part 3: Interpreting Diagnostic Tests with Probabilistic Thinking
Required Viewing
- Video - Module 3
Optional Reading
- Annotated Slides for Module 3
- Module 3 Handout
Optional Listening
- Voiceover of Required Reading (Calder, Gavinski, Patel)
Target Audience
- Physicians
- Pharmacists
- Residents
Learning Objectives
Participants who engage in this educational intervention will be able to:
- Apply Bayes' Rule and the Likelihood Ratio using a story-like format.
- Intuitively understand the metrics of sensitivity, specificity, and positive/negative predictive power.
- Interpret a receiver operating characteristic curve to determine how well a diagnostic test discriminates between the diseased and non-diseased.
- Explain how positive predictive value correlates with disease prevalence.

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